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BEA471 Macroeconomics

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Question:

Write a report about macroeconomic condition of one of the Australian trading and investment partners in recent years (e.g. China, Japan, the US, South Korea, Singapore, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, Thailand, Malaysia, Germany, Indonesia, Canada, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, France, Italy and India). It is assumed that your company in Australia is going to invest in one of these countries. You are working as an Economist for the company to analyse the macroeconomic condition of the target country. You can choose any industry from the United Nations’ International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities available at:

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcst.asp?Cl=27 (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

The report should use graphs and tables to discuss how changes in major macroeconomic variables and fiscal and monetary policies in the target country would influence your company’s long-term investment decision. Based on analyses and justifications, you need to recommend to the CEO of the company if the country is a favourable one for long-term investment. The macroeconomic variables and policies that you need to consider are as follows:

General business environment (starting a business, dealing with construction permit, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, protecting minority investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts, resolving insolvency)

Data source: http://www.doingbusiness.org/data (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Economic growth and business cycles

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Unemployment

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Average wage rate

Data source: http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?q=wage&d=LABORSTA&f=tableCode%3a5A (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Human capital (e.g. higher education)

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SE.TER.ENRR (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Inflation

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Real interest rate

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.RINR?view=map (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Government expenditures in the economy

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.CON.GOVT.ZS (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Domestic credit to private sector

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/FS.AST.PRVT.GD.ZS (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Taxation policy in the target country

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/GC.TAX.TOTL.GD.ZS (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Government expenditures on infrastructure (e.g. internet, road, water, electricity)

Data source: http://data.worldbank.org/topic/infrastructure (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Exchange rate regime and exchange rate fluctuation

Data source: http://www.bis.org/statistics/eer.htm (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.

Two examples of monetary policies in your target country in recent years
Effects of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on your target country

You do not need to present and analyse all above mentioned variables, but your set of selected and analysed variables need to describe well the target country and industry.

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