(a) “The simple idea that by pumping up total spending, government can supplement depressed private spending and temporarily boost economic activity has appealed to economists and governments since the Great Depression of the 1930s.” (Page 22)
Explain this “simple idea” due to J.M. Keynes.
(b) “Separating out the automatic changes in the fiscal position from the discretionary ones is difficult, and it is impossible to assess the counterfactual of how the economy would have performed had there been no fiscal response.” (Page 24)
During a recession, automatic changes take place in the fiscal position (budget deficit/surplus). Why? Also give some examples of discretionary changes in the face of a recession and their effect on the budget.
(c) “What has been ignored in current debate is that fiscal contraction that targets wasteful government programs improves macroeconomic performance.”
Explain by what process a fiscal contraction could possibly improve macroeconomic performance.
(d) “The key question is whether Australia really needs fiscal ‘stimulus’ in the form of budgetary outlays when monetary policy is best placed to influence short-run macroeconomic activity.”
In what way can monetary policy be used to create economic ‘stimulus’ and why, does Makin argue, is it more effective than fiscal policy?
2. A tax on sugar intended to shift consumption towards a healthier diet has been suggested and even implemented in some countries. Some people think that individuals should make their own choices and, if they prefer unhealthy products, the government should not interfere. On the other hand, those who become ill from obesity will impose costs on the health service so that others argue that the government has a role to play.
Government spending being one of the components of aggregate demand, an increase in government spending leads to an increase in aggregate demand. This in turn causes in an increase in GDP and price level.
b. Fiscal policy is an instrument used to stabilize the economy. There are two main instruments of fiscal policy – automatic stabilizer and discretionary policy. Automatic stabilizers are in built mechanism that are designed to automatically adjust government expenditures or taxation to influence aggregate demand. For example, during recession government expenditure on unemployment benefit automatically increases. On the other hand, because of lower income during this time, government tax revenue reduces. As spending exceeds government revenue, there is a deficit in fiscal budget during recession.
Discretionary fiscal policy refers to the non-compulsory changes in government spending, tax and other fiscal activity with respect to change in state of the economy. Examples of discretionary fiscal policy include expenditure on roads, stadiums, bridges and other public expenditure and cut in taxes. Expansionary policy results in surplus in budget while tight fiscal policy leads to a deficit in budget.
c . The fiscal contraction is undertaken in the form of a decline in government expenditure or increase in tax rate. Decline in government spending in wasteful program may have a positive impact on the economy and help to improve macroeconomic performance. Cutting down of unnecessary expenditure strengthens fiscal position. This in turn has a crowd in impact on private on private investment. The increase in private investment helps to increase national income. A contraction in the government expenditure therefore works through the channel of a decline in interest rate, which stimulate investment and national income. This contradicts Keynesian view of fiscal policy as an effective counter cyclical policy instrument.
d . Monetary policy stimulus is given in the form of lowering the interest rate. A decline in interest rate reduces the cost of investment. The low cost of investment boosts investment, which in turn contribute to expansion of economic activity. In nation like Australia, monetary policy is more accommodating due to their heavy dependency on external borrowing. Since the attack of global financial crisis, RBA cut the interest rate to a substantially low level. This boosted the economic activity through depreciation of exchange rate. With status of the economy as an international borrower, fiscal stimulus ultimately proves unproductive by worsening fiscal position
The objective of taxation is to restrict consumption or production. In order to curb health expenditure resulted from consumption of unhealthy food government adapt the policy of taxing unhealthy foods. The incidence of taxation depends on relative elasticity measures. For Sweets and sugary snacks, the given price elasticity are -0.270 and -0.295 for high and low calorie respectively. Both the elasticity measures are relatively inelastic that is change in demand is less compared. After tax, buyers thus need to bear a greater tax burden, which induces them to reduce consumption. The effect of tax is explained in the following figure with supply and a relatively inelastic demand.
Subsidy on the other hand is given to encourage consumption and production of specific items. The given elasticity measures show that fruits and vegetables have a relatively elastic demand. Demand thus changes more in response to change in prices. The effectiveness of a subsidy measure is illustrated in the following figure
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