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MAE101 Economic Principles

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Questions:

Article: Is the Australian dollar overvalued?

From the article titled ‘Is the Australian dollar overvalued?’ (Sydney Morning Herald February 10, 2017), answer the following questions.

  • Briefly summarise the main issues discussed in this article?
  • Using Demand and Supply model of exchange rate determination briefly explain how AUD is determined in the forex market, and what factors influence its fluctuations.
  • Using nominal exchange rate data and trade weighted index from Reserve Bank of Australia and graphs (monthly data of last three years) analyse the movement of AUD relative to that of the USD? Is it in line with the world commodity price movement during this period? Are there any other factors contributing to this behaviour of the AUD?
  • Assume that you are exporting alcoholic beverages to United States. Explain the impact of overvalued AUD on your income? What advantages/disadvantages do you think Australia will have in overvalued AUD?
  • If the market rate is US 76C then what action could the Reserve Bank of Australia take in order to maintain the exchange rate at US 72C, and what side effects might this action have on the Australian economy? Do you think that such actions would be effective?
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