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FIN61104 International Finance: Foreign Exchange Risk Exposure
American Fast Track Inc. (AFT) operates high speed rail services in the U.S. AFT has placed an order to purchase rail cars from the Xinjiang Locomotives of China in June 2017. AFT has ordered 20 units of Multi-speed rail cars at the quoted price of USD2.5 million each, which totals to a payment of USD50 million. All the 20 units of this rail cars will be delivered to AFT in December 2017. AFT has agreed to pay 50% of its payable when the order is delivered and another 50% to be settled in June 2018. Xinjiang has invoiced this order in USD and will receive its receivables in USD. As the receivable amount is substantially large in USD, Xinjiang will face the exchange rate risk if USD continue to depreciate against the Chinese Yuan.
Since the beginning of 2017, the U.S. dollar had been steadily depreciating against the Chinese Yuan (CNY). In January 2017, the dollar was trading around CNY7.22573/$ and by June 2017, it softened to 6.72475/$. This represented a 8% depreciation of the dollar against the CNY. Although many analysts had concluded that the U.S. dollar was undervalued during this period, it continued to show signs of weakening. Government interventions to strengthen the dollar was not being discussed at this time.
hile many forecasters were predicting an eventual appreciation of the U.S. dollar, for Xinjiang, the size of this contract which was denominated in U.S. dollars was seen as too large a transaction to be left uncovered. Therefore, you have been contacted by Xinjiang to analyze and recommend alternatives as to how this locomotive company can hedge its U.S. dollar transaction exposure. Having collected the CNY/US$ exchange rates from various financial institutions that have a dedicated foreign exchange department, you are provided with the following quotes:
Spot Exchange rate
Not satisfied with the lack of risk management opportunities, you decided to contact a few banks to obtain the latest interest rates:
U.S. 180-day interest rates : 4.000 – 4.345% p.a.
U.S. One year interest rates : 4.255 – 4.500% p.a. China 180-day interest rates : 2.323 – 2.452% p.a. China One year interest rates : 2.001 – 2.225% p.a.
The risk management executives at the banks you contacted also provided you with another alternative, which is to manage the exposure via currency options contracts. The available derivatives are as follows:
180-day Call Option
180-day Put Option
360-day Call Option
360-day Put Option
Based on the information provided, analyze all possible alternatives for managing the foreign exchange risk exposure in the scenario above, and make a recommendation for the best alternative.
Justify your recommendation(s).
On December 2017 and in June 2018, if the actual exchange rates between the U.S. Dollar and the Chinese Yuan is CNY6.8255/$ and CNY6.950/$ respectively:
How much unrealized gain / loss did Xinjiang face through your recommendation(s) from Part A during both the settlement periods?
Explain how the unrealized gain / loss happened in each period of settlement
Explain whether managing foreign exchange risk is worth the amount of effort required.
Explain whether a company like Xinjiang should just choose to remain unhedged.
Foreign exchange risk exposure refers to the financial risk which arises due to the financial transactions stated in the foreign currency, which is other than the domestic currency (Fleten et al. 2015). Due to the high volatility in the currency rates, the profit of the investor is significantly affected (Bettis, Bizjak and Kalpathy, 2015). There are three types of foreign risk exposure such as transaction exposure, operating exposure and translation exposure (Islam, and Chakraborti, 2015). However through the effective manner of the hedging, the foreign exchange risk can be mitigated to some extent, some hedging techniques are described below-
To hedge with by entering into the forward contract
Hedging the risk by money market hedging
By entering into the option contract (Bhatia, and Bhat,2016)
In the present study, Xinjiang company which is China-based will receive the amount of $ 50 million in future by entering into the deal in June 2017. On the basis of the terms of the deal, 50% of the amount will receive in December 2017 and another 50% in June 2018. The company has foreign exchange risk exposure due to the changing in the foreign currency rates. And if the value of the dollar will decrease, then there is a chance of the loss to the company. Therefore the company wants to hedge the foreign currency risk exposure. Through the following method, the company can hedge the risk. Read more..
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Ans: Writing academic papers is a part of the traditional academic curriculum. The teachers and professors at the schools and colleges ask the students to write academic papers to evaluate their knowledge and understanding of the lessons that are taught in class.
Q.2. How will academic paper writing make you a stronger student?
Ans: Academic writing is a major skill that you need to develop in order to have a successful academic career. While writing impressive academic papers helps you secure better grades, it also helps you retain the knowledge and education regarding the topic of those papers. Moreover, you get more prepared for writing in your final exams.
Q.3. What should you include in a paper writing?
Ans: While drafting an academic paper, you need to include a number of crucial elements in the content:
A hook at the beginning of the paper
Background details of the chosen topic
A thesis statement that describes the main purpose of the paper
Explanation of the arguments
Supporting evidence for each argument
Analysis (if required)
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Ans: Some of the most important skills of a great writer are:
Ability to conduct in-depth research
Proofreading and editing
Ability to organise the content
Q.7. What is the most easiest writing format?
Ans: MLA is considered the easiest format of writing. Also, it is the most popular format for college students when it comes to academic writing.
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Ans: There are high chances that you will get caught if you buy a written paper as most academic institutes now run plagiarism checks on each paper. This is why it is recommended to study the written paper and use it as a reference while you prepare your own original paper.
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