Question One
Phil got very nervous about the stock market at the end of the trading day on 9/17 and decided to take a short position in 5,000 Russell 3000 futures contracts. Phil’s portfolio at the end of the day – close - is shown in Table One.
Table One
Phil’s Portfolio Value at 9/17 close
Position |
Amount (millions) |
Russell 3000 ETF |
$37.000 |
Barclays Aggregate ETF |
$13.000 |
Russell 3000 Futures |
Short 3000 contracts |
Table Two shows the pricing of the Russell 3000 futures contract at the market close on 9/17.
Table Two
Russell 3000 Futures Contract Pricing
Index |
Spot/Cash Price |
Futures Price |
Time to Expiration |
Russell 3000 |
$1,221.17 |
$1,219.88 |
90 days |
What is the value of Phil’s portfolio at the end of trading on 9/18 if (1) the return to the Russell 3000 was -1.87% during trading on 9/18 and (2) the return to the Barclay’s Aggregate was 0.23% during trading on 9/18?
Question Two
A defined benefit pension plan with assets and liabilities shown in Table Three below wants to eliminate the impact of interest rate changes on its “funded status”: the difference between the value of the plan assets and liabilities.
Table Three
Defined Benefit Pension Plan Assets and Liabilities
Plan Assets |
||
Asset Class |
Market Value (millions) |
Modified Duration |
Fixed Income |
$51.00 |
6.31 |
Equity |
$42.00 |
0.00 |
Plan Liability |
||
|
$100.00 |
13.45 |
What notional value of the interest rate swap shown below do you recommend the plan take?
Also indicate whether the plan’s interest rate swap position should (1) pay fixed and receive floating or (2) pay floating and receive fixed. If the plan should pay floating and receive fixed, then enter “floating” in the Pay column and “fixed” in the Receive column.
Table Four
Interest Rate Swap
Tenor (Years) |
Payment Frequency |
Rate |
Notional |
Pay |
Receive |
10 |
Annual |
4% |
|
|
Question Three
A hedge fund manager has taken two swap positions shown in Table Four. Both swaps are annual pay.
Table Four
Hedge Fund Manager Swap Positions
Position |
Pay |
Receive |
Tenor |
Rate |
Notional (millions) |
1 |
Fixed |
Floating |
10 |
3.5% |
4.828 |
2 |
Floating |
Fixed |
5 |
3.5% |
10.000 |
Under what conditions does this trade make a profit or loss? Insert either “positive” “negative” or “zero” in each row of Table Five and explain your answer.
Table Five
Swap Position P&L
Market Conditions |
Trade Profit |
Interest Rates Rise after trade is made |
|
Interest Rates Fall after trade is made |
|
Yield Curve Steepens after trade is made |
|
Yield Curve Flattens after trade is made |
Question Four
Two hedge fund managers are betting on a rally in US stocks. Ozzie goes long $1,000,000 notional amount of the Russell 3000 futures and Phil goes long $1,000,000 notional amount of S&P 500 futures. The spot (cash) and futures market conditions when they put their trades on are shown below.
Table Six
Spot/Cash and Futures Market Data
|
Spot/Cash |
Futures |
||
Index |
Price |
Annualized Dividend Yield |
Price |
Expiration (years) |
Russell 3000 |
$1,220.54 |
1.30% |
$1,209.56 |
1 |
S&P 500 |
$2,068.78 |
2.00% |
$2,037.75 |
1 |
(A) Over the next year both equity indexes have a 6.30% total return. What are the dollar returns to Phil’s position and Ozzie’s position?
Table Seven
Investor Returns
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Investor |
Futures Position |
Spot Market Total Return |
Dollar Return |
Phil |
Long $1 million S&P 500 |
6.30% |