In recent years there has been considerable backlash against globalisation. Critically discuss the causes of this reversal. Highlight the challenges and opportunities that globalisation may face in the future, focusing on the implications of the current global pandemic Covid-19, and also the political, economic, environmental and technological direction the global economic system is headed towards.
Considering increasing demand in Asia, and existing uncertain economic condition European car market, the car maker BMW aims to consolidate the strength of their brand in Asia by way of capital investment project. BMW plans to capturing the full potential of the Asian Car market and willing to make huge investment. The plan includes the full scale penetration including setting up luxury car production plant. Assume that BMW has to choose either China or India for the go ahead of the project. In considering such large project, the financial managers at BMW must analyse the cash flows that arise from the project. In addition they must realistically estimate of the discount rate that applies to the particular investment.
Cash flows for the Full Projects in both countries are as follows:
Year |
Net Cash Flow – China |
Net Cash Flow - India |
0 |
-€21 million |
-€15 million |
1 |
€3 million |
€1 million |
2 |
€6 million |
€2 million |
3 |
€6 million |
€4 million |
4 |
€6 million |
€8 million |
5 |
€6 million |
€8 million |
The risk of each project attracts a discount rate of 8 per cent.
a.Which Country should BMW invest in? Show your calculations.
b.Considering current world economic climate the future exchange rates are uncertain. How would you analysis/anticipate the change in exchange rates. Write your proposal to mitigate impact of possible exchange rate fluctuations