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Decision Analysis Process and Recommendations for the XYZ Manufacturing Company

## Problem Statement and Major Considerations

You are consultants hired by the XYZ Manufacturing company to evaluate the health and state of their business.  Your goal is to review the data and information provided about the company and then develop a variety of relevant, realistic, and actionable recommendations.  You will create a professional presentation detailing the recommendations and providing the backup support behind these recommendations.

You are to make up THREE (3) different problems from any of the procedures below.  All three must be from three different chapters.     Center of Gravity technique    . JUST ONE TECHNIQUE.   9 months of data,  5 markets, link to the 3 years of data we were given. You are to invent the data. and then solve the problem using the correct mathematics.  You are to then to explain this problem and its implication for the XYZ company in your presentation.

Your final paper should include the all the elements of the decision making process defined in Chapter 1. Use the structure below to assist you.

1.Problem Statement: Overview of the decision problem and the major considerations in analyzing it.

2.Evaluation Considerations and Evaluation Measures: Describe the process used to determine evaluation considerations and evaluation measures, including a discussion of other evaluation considerations that seem relevant and the reasons that they were not included.

3.Decision Alternatives: Describe the process used to determine alternatives, including a discussion of other alternatives that seem relevant and the reasons these were not analyzed. Describe the final set of alternatives used in the decision analysis.

4.Value Function Assessment: Present the general procedure used for the assessment.  Show the parameters for the value function.

5.Scenarios: Present the scenarios used to analyze the impact of uncertainties. Describe the process used to develop the final set of scenarios, as well as other scenarios that seem relevant and the reasons these were not included.

6.Data Collection and Evaluation Measure Scores: Present the procedure used to determine the evaluation measures for each alternative under each scenario.

7.Value Calculations and Sensitivity Analysis: Briefly describe how you will carry out the value computations required to complete your evaluation.  Present the value calculations for the alternatives for each scenario, as well as a sensitivity analysis. Briefly describe how these computations were done, include the actual computations in the appendix to your report. Conduct and present a systematic sensitivity analysis to investigate how variations in assumptions impact the analysis results.

8.Conclusions: Present your conclusions based on the analysis in the preceding sections, including a qualitative discussion of the reasons the preferred alternative is best. The goal of this section is that someone who does not understand the details of decision analysis methods will find your Conclusions section to be a convincing argument for the preferred alternative. That is, the analysis should be a way of developing insight about the key factors in the decision and how these lead to selection of the preferred alternative.