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Calculating probability of Type II error, Power of the Test, and error test
Answered

A construction firm thinks that it is receiving 100 steel pipes with an average  tensile strength of 10,000 pounds per square inch(lbs p.s.i.).This is the mean,μ.The size of the sample was n=100.The firm also knows that the population standard deviation,sigma,σ,is 400 p.s.i.The firm chooses a confidence interval of 95 %.This is equivalent to a level of significance,α,of 5 %(.05),where the null hypothesis is H00=10,000 and the alternative hypothesis is H10≠10,000.The company does not know that the actual, average tensile strength is not μ0=10,000,but μ1 =10,100.

Calculate the probability of making a Type II (β) error both graphically and quantitatively, the Power of the Test, error test.

  • A construction firm thinks that it is receiving 100 steel pipes with an average  tensile strength of 10,000 pounds per square inch(lbs p.s.i.).This is the mean,μ.The size of the sample was n=100.The firm also knows that the population standard deviation,sigma,σ,is 400 p.s.i.The firm chooses a confidence interval of 95 %.This is equivalent to a level of significance,α,of 5 %(.05),where the null hypothesis is H00=10,000 and the alternative hypothesis is H10≠10,000.The company does not know that the actual, average tensile strength is not μ0=10,000,but μ1=9,940.Calculate the probability of making a Type II (β) error, the power of the Test,  I error test.
  • Correlation(Part 1)- -compute r,r2and 1-r2 for the problem below .What does r,r2 and 1-r2 mean ? Is the correlation strong or weak ?

                               X(Independent Variable)                             Y(Dependent variable)

Month   Advertising Expenditure (in Millions of $)   Sales Revenue (in Millions of $)       

July                       1                                                                         3

August                 2                                                                         7

September          3                                                                         5

October               4                                                                         11

November           5                                                                         14

  • Correlation(Part 2)- Do a Hypothesis Test  for the Correlation Coefficient ,r, that you calculated in the previous HW problem,Correlation(Part 1) .

Assume that you want to test for a positive correlation. Let α,your level of significance ,be .05.The number of observations, n, is 5.Use n-2 degrees of freedom. Do you reject or do not reject H0 ?

You need to do the 6 steps for the Neymann-Pearson critical value test.You do not need to do a Fisher p-value test for the correlation coefficient ,r.

  • Regression (Part I)-  You are again given the same 5 observations that you were provided with in the Correlation problem.However,you are now asked to derive the regression line,y’= a+bX for the data below.After you have calculated the regression equation,explain to me how you could use it.

                               X(Independent Variable)                             Y(Dependent variable)

Month   Advertising Expenditure (in Millions of $)   Sales Revenue (in Millions of $)       

July                       1                                                                         3

August                 2                                                                         7

September          3                                                                         5

October               4                                                                         11

November           5                                                                         14

  • Regression (Part 2)-  Calculating the Standard Error of the Estimate-Sx .You will be using the same summation data that you used to derive the equation of the regression line,Y’=a +bX,in Regression ( Part I )

After you have calculated the Standard Error of the Estimate,Sy.x,tell me what the number you have obtained means.

  • Regression (Part 3)- Calculating a Prediction Interval for a particular value of X

In this problem ,you will be using the results of Part I and Part II,which were Y’ =a+bX and Sy.x  ,to compute a prediction value for a particular value of X.I suggest that you use X=1 as the particular value of X.However,you are free to use whatever value of X that you want

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