Discuss About The Valuation Of Shares Companies Market Value.
Investors are the persons who invest their capital in company with a view to create value on their investment. The main factors which are considered by investors are the return available on the invested capital and risk associated with the same. In this report, different valuation methods have been used to evaluate the share price of different companies. All the companies have been selected from the information technologies business sector, energy sector and financial market sector. In the end, comparisons between the Warrant buffet valuation theory and dividend discount model and PE ratio has been done.
In this 10 selected companies has been selected and by using the Capital Assets Pricing model the share price of these companies have been computed (Yahoo finance, 2018).
CAPM Method |
|
RF |
Risk free rate of return |
RM |
Market premium |
Beta |
risk of the Company |
Cost of equity |
RF+(RM-Rf)B |
PARTICULARS |
PRICE OF SHARES |
GROWTH |
COST OF EQUITY Computed by using the CAPM model |
RISK FREE RATE OF RETURN |
BETA |
MARKET RATE |
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED |
17.57 |
-0.28% |
7% |
2.77% |
1.04 |
6.5% |
WISETECH GLOBAL |
13.25 |
0.15% |
12% |
2.77% |
2.39 |
6.5% |
Altium |
22.28 |
1.67% |
6% |
2.77% |
0.82 |
6.5% |
ENERGY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
BHP Billiton |
50.3 |
-0.10% |
9% |
2.77% |
1.2915 |
7.7% |
CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED |
30.5 |
2.11% |
7% |
2.77% |
0.91 |
7.7% |
WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED |
17.44 |
1.99% |
11% |
2.77% |
1.69 |
7.7% |
APAC COAL LIMITED |
2.43 |
0.83% |
26% |
2.77% |
4.82 |
7.7% |
FINANACIALS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMMON WEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA |
70.94 |
-0.06% |
8% |
2.77% |
1.01 |
8.2% |
National Australian Bank |
28.4 |
-0.63% |
9% |
2.77% |
1.18 |
8.2% |
SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED |
13.93 |
-0.29% |
8% |
2.77% |
0.89 |
8.2% |
(Yahoo finance, 2018).
This dividend discount model is used to compute the share price of these companies and analysis their growth, dividend paid and retained earning throughout the time.
Dividend Discount Model |
|
Price of the company |
D1/ Ke-G |
D1 |
Dividend payment |
Ke= |
Cost of the equity |
G= |
Growth rate |
Particular |
Net income( $ in million |
Dividend pay-out ratio |
Dividend payment |
Retention ratio |
Growth rate |
KE |
D1 (In million) |
KE-G |
Share price of Company |
Information technologies |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED |
2105.8 |
2% |
45.48528 |
98% |
2.1% |
7% |
46.45 |
4.5% |
1024.0 |
WISETECH GLOBAL |
1537 |
0% |
2.6129 |
100% |
0.2% |
12% |
2.62 |
11.5% |
22.7 |
Altium |
63.31 |
2% |
1.2662 |
98% |
2.0% |
6% |
1.29 |
3.9% |
33.4 |
ENERGY |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
BHP Billiton |
64.29 |
2% |
1.41438 |
98% |
2.2% |
9% |
1.44 |
6.9% |
20.9 |
CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED |
24.35 |
2% |
0.36525 |
99% |
1.5% |
7% |
0.37 |
5.7% |
6.5 |
WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED |
520 |
3% |
15.6 |
97% |
2.9% |
11% |
16.05 |
8.1% |
198.0 |
APAC COAL LIMITED |
-235 |
0% |
|
100% |
0.0% |
26% |
0.00 |
26.3% |
|
FINANACIALS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMMON WEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA |
9928 |
6% |
595.68 |
94% |
5.6% |
8% |
629.28 |
2.6% |
24070.5 |
National Australian Bank |
4975 |
4% |
199 |
96% |
3.8% |
9% |
206.64 |
5.3% |
3871.6 |
SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED |
1075 |
5% |
56.2225 |
95% |
5.0% |
8% |
59.01 |
2.6% |
2229.9 |
Computation of the PE Ratio |
|||
|
MPS |
EPS |
PE ratio (MPS/EPS) |
Information technologies |
|
|
|
COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED |
17.57 |
0.57 |
30.82 |
WISETECH GLOBAL |
13.25 |
0.57 |
23.25 |
Altium |
22.28 |
0.35 |
63.66 |
ENERGY |
|
|
|
BHP Billiton |
50.3 |
|
|
CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED |
30.5 |
1.4 |
21.79 |
WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED |
17.44 |
1.3 |
13.42 |
APAC COAL LIMITED |
2.43 |
0 |
#DIV/0! |
FINANACIALS |
|
|
|
COMMON WEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA |
70.94 |
2.2 |
32.25 |
National Australian Bank |
28.4 |
1.5 |
18.93 |
SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED |
13.93 |
0.57 |
24.44 |
(Yahoo finance, 2018).
Rank the ten investments in order of desirability |
||||||||
Particular |
PE ratio |
Market Price of the shares |
KE |
Beta |
CO-EFFICIENT OF VARIANCE |
RANK (IN TERMS OF BETA/ COST OF EQUITY) |
RANK (IN TERMS OF BETA/ COST OF EQUITY) |
|
Information technologies |
30.82 |
1023.99 |
7% |
1.04 |
15.6 |
8 |
3 |
|
COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED |
23.25 |
22.73 |
12% |
2.39 |
20.5 |
10 |
1 |
|
WISETECH GLOBAL |
63.66 |
33.37 |
6% |
0.82 |
14.1 |
5 |
6 |
|
Altium |
0.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
ENERGY |
|
20.88 |
9% |
1.2915 |
14.2 |
6 |
5 |
|
BHP Billiton |
21.79 |
6.46 |
7% |
0.91 |
12.6 |
3 |
8 |
|
CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED |
13.42 |
198.02 |
11% |
1.69 |
15.3 |
7 |
4 |
|
WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED |
|
|
26% |
4.82 |
18.3 |
9 |
2 |
|
APAC COAL LIMITED |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FINANACIALS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
COMMON WEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA |
32.25 |
24070.55 |
8% |
1.01 |
12.2 |
2 |
9 |
|
National Australian Bank |
18.93 |
3871.58 |
9% |
1.18 |
12.9 |
4 |
7 |
|
SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED |
24.44 |
2229.93 |
8% |
0.89 |
11.7 |
1 |
10 |
The best investment option in this case would be Sun Crop Group Limited due to its high return and less risk associated with it.
After evaluating the PE ratio, it could be inferred that the PE ratio of Sun Crop is higher as compared to other companies. If investors want to create value on investment by having less risk then Sun Corporation is the best company for the investment purpose. Sun Crop has been ranked as 1 ranking company on the basis of its risk per unit of return is 0.1357. It is least risk as compared to other business management organizations.
It is evaluated that Warren Buffet has been following market based theory in which he analyses the company and its performance. He analyses the share price, beta of Company, Market premium and sustainability of company. The Warren Buffet has been appointed as CEO of the Berkshire Hathway. He uses several investment valuation methods to identify the corporate financial performance of company.
It is analyzed that Warren Buffet uses the profitability, earning per share and estimation of the risk associated with the invested amount. He reveals that only changes in the share price are not the only indicator to determine the future growth of the company. Investors should evaluate profitability, earning per share and estimation of the risk associated company before investing their capital in their business. The intrinsic value estimates the precise figure which could be used to evaluate the share price of company and its future growth in the near future.
There are several details which Warren Buffet Would makes on the performance of these companies.
Information technologies |
COMPUTERSHARE LIMITED |
WISETECH GLOBAL |
Altium |
The share price of Computer Share limited $ 17.57 which reflects that share price of company is overvalued. The profitability of company is also lower which reveals the negative market condition. In case of Wisetech Global Company, profitability of company is higher and showing the less amount of financial leverage. The share price of company is lower as compared to its intrinsic value. In context with the Altium Company, Warren Buffet has shown that company has high loss which might result to destruction of its business in very short time.
ENERGY |
BHP Billiton |
CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED |
WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED |
APAC COAL LIMITED |
It is evaluated that share price of BHP is $ 50.7 which is higher and will be grown with the very less rate. The high profitability and increased business turnover increase the potentially of the return on capital employed. . AS per the Warren Buffet, Company has been performing well and would create value on the investment (Jordan, 2014).
In case of CALTEX AUSTRALIA LIMITED, the net profit of company has increased by 22% since last five year. The financial leverage and capital structure is also optimum which shows positive outcomes toe the investors. Warren Buffet reveals that company will grow in the future with good amount of return (Yahoo finance, 2018). In case of WORLEYPARSONS LIMITED, Warren Buffet has divulged that company has maintained stable business practice and will grow with the average rate. Investor who wants to have higher return should not invest more capital in this company. APAC COAL LIMITED has also been facing high loss in its business which will provide good return to investors only in long run. In short run it will destruct the value of the investment of the investor (White, Sondh, and Fried, 2015).
- Common Wealth Bank of Australia
- National Australian Bank
- Sun Crop Company
As per the perception of the Warren Buffett, the share price of Common wealth will create value after 3 years. The dividend rate of this company is also very low which will restrict investors for yearly return (Yahoo finance, 2018).
The National Australian Banks has increased its turnover by 25% since last five years. The ordinary dividend offered by company is also fully franked and issued to shareholders. It will give good return on capital employed to shareholders.
In case of Sun Corp Corporation, Warren Buffet has given view that it will have strong growth rate. The shares of the company may be overvalued in market but in near future, it will have increased its overall profitability and turnover. It will give good amount of return to shareholders (Weygandt, Kimmel, and Kieso, 2015).
It is analyzed that as per the views of the Warren Buffet, the share price of the company should be valued on the basis of intricacies of the demand and supply factors prevailing in the market. The profitability, return on capital employed and share price valuation should be used to value the share of company (Tseng, and Chiang, 2016).
Warren Buffet consider the following points while undertaking stocks in his portfolio
In terms of the Return on equity
Investors should evaluate the EPS and return on equity available on their investment
Financial leverage of company
It shows the financial risk and sustainability of the business. Company having low financial leverage must be selected for the investment purpose (Yahoo finance, 2018).
Profitability of the business
The profitability of company is determined on the basis of net income and profit earned capacity of company (Delen, Kuzey, and Uyar, 2013).
Nature of the organization and legal compliance
Warren Buffet evaluates the nature of the business market compliance and other factors before investing in the particular company.
Warren Buffet uses two-column Valuation Methodology to evaluate the market price and intrinsic value of the company.
This model is used to evaluate the share price of company (Mwangi, and Murigu, 2015).
- Relative Valuation
P/E ratio is calculated to give the ranking to stocks or determining the undervalued and overvalued shares. - Dividend Discount Model (Mwangi, and Murigu, 2015).
This discount model is used to evaluate the forecasted share price of company based on the price and return on capital employed.
Discounted Cash Flow Model
Ideally, this discount cash flow model is used to determine the value of the shares when the irregular dividends or no dividends are given to shareholders (Yahoo finance, 2018).
Therefore, after considering these both valuation models, it could be inferred that Warren Buffet Dividend discount model is the best model to value the share price of the company.
There are several factors which might impact the share price value of company. IT is observed that if investor wants to create value on his investment then he must use proper methods and valuation method to create value on the investment. Now in the end, it could be inferred that Warren Buffet should method should be used to invest capital in particular securities.
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