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  1. Conduct a Top Down analysis of the overall economic environment and consider how forecast changes in economic fundamentals will impact on the performances of companies in the industry your group has chosen. Consider questions including, but not limited to: What is the current interest rate What is the current value of the $AUD? What is current GDP etc.
  1. Conduct a Bottom Up analysis of companies’ current financial situation. Consider accounting ratios and measures of a firm’s performance, how these need to be compared to the industry and company history,
    • All of the required information for calculation and often the actual ratio/number can be found on various websites on the internet.

Note: When your group is performing the fundamental analysis take a less is more approach. Select a few key performance measures then define each measure; explain what the measure is supposed to show and then what it is showing for the industry/your companies.

Refer to both your textbook and information available on the internet. This assignment involves research to finding the information and then analysing this resulting information.

When writing the report, imagine that your audience are people that know nothing about finance or the financial markets. At each stage you will need to carefully explain what do are analysing and why. Do not think that just because your lecturer will know what this ratio means that you do not have to define it.

Top-Down Analysis

In the modern market of dynamic economic conditions and competition, it is very difficult for any organization to maintain the optimum pace of growth without the proper analysis of market groups and implementing the marketing strategies accordingly and effectively. The report has considered Oil Search Ltd Australia and Pan Pacific petroleum Australia. Despite having foreign countries as origin, these two companies have been have given tough competition to each other over time in terms of market stability, better design of motors, meeting customers’ demands and certain other factors of performance. The report has included the top-down as well as bottom-up analysis of these companies and has compared various things about both the Energy giants and has included some statistical figures and calculations in order to support the discussion

Top-Down Analysis

“Top-Down Analysis” means the method of analyzing the performance of any organization starting from the top level of operations and calculations. According to Porter and Williams (2016, p.126), Top-down Analysis is done mostly by the investors that are looking forward to invest some of their funds in the company assets and market share of the companies.(Guenther et al. 2017, p.16). Following are the detailed analysis of the Oil Search Ltd Australia Company in terms of change in forecast in the economic fundamentals that can be highlighted by an investor to make some investment in the organization.

Brief History of Oil Search Ltd

The Oil Search in the global Energy market is one of the leading Energy Company that was established in Papua New Guinea in 1903. With its main headquarter located in Papua New Guinea, the company has been successfully able to spread its business in different parts of the world along with Australia. In the year 1925, the Oil Search Ltd administration founded Oil Search Ltd Australia in Geelong, Victoria as a subsidiary of Oil Search Ltd Company (Oilsearch.com, 2017).

Economic Environment of Oil Search Ltd Australia

The specialty of Australian based Oil Search Ltd subsidiary is that the investments have been done in a very huge amount compared to any other subsidiary in a different country. From 2010 to 2016, there has been an investment of AUD 2 billion just on the Research and Development for making new products. According to Armour et al. (2016, p.142), the efficient investment has resulted into the development some of the best products in their respective categories.

The Oil Search Ltd was one of the best oil mining when started as the only oil mining company in Australia that gave a tough competition to other companies in its categories. Even today the mining strategy is considered as one of the best strategy that gives tremendous performance in its economic value and fuel efficiency. The constant success of Oil Search Ltd was the result of constant development and enhancement in the design and performances of advanced mining technologies, and other important features in the technical machines that are preferred by company machinery experts (Salim et al. 2016, p.121).

Change of Forecast in Economic Fundamentals

Brief History of Oil Search Ltd

In order to make some correct investments in any company, it is very important to do proper forecasting so that the probability of negative impact on the investment and the risk of investment failure can be reduced. As per Ferguson et al. (2016, p.20), the term “Economic Forecasting” is all about making certain predictions and assumptions related to the performance of any company that can give a fair idea regarding the success probability of any investment in that particular firm. The investors have to study the records and data related to a company in a detailed manner including profits earned by a company along with other useful statistical data.

Gross Domestic Product of Oil Search Ltd Australia

The Gross Domestic Product or GDP of any organization or country or organization is the value of products and services that have been delivered in any particular year. According to the journal written by Zeff (2016, p.147), the GDP of Oil Search Ltd Australia has been growing at a rate of 3.1% in the year 2015-2016 and was AUD 1.1 billion by the end of the year. This growth rate can be considered as a fair progress and a safe zone for investors to invest their monetary assets in the company.

Profit and Losses in the recent years

The proper study of profits earned and losses suffered by a firm are very important to make some precise predictions about the performance that the company is likely to show in the current few years. As stated by Heller and Phillips (2017, p.18), the annual report of the firm can give a fair idea about the profits and losses. However, observing just the latest annual report is not enough as it gives just the specific figure of only one year.

According to the Annual Reports of Oil Search Ltd Australia, the revenue has been increasing every year for the company due to its investments and developments of products. In 2012, the company generated AUD 133.5 billion that kept increasing gradually till 2016, which was AUD 151.8 billion. The company faced a downfall in the revenue generation when it went down from AUD 146.9 billion in 2013 to AUD 144 billion in 2014. However, it can be said very evidently that the company jumped from AUD 144 billion in 2014 to AUD 149.5 billion in 2015, which kept growing to AUD 151.8 billion in 2016. The significant leap of profit from 2014 to 2015 helped the company to recover soon from the losses that was incurred in 2014 (Oilsearch.com, 2017).

Investments made in Research and Development

The total amount of investment made in any particular sector can be used as an important data to make necessary assumptions. As mentioned by Sippel et al. (2017, 261), the more a company spends in its research and development, the more it is likely to develop new products and ultimately attract new customers. As mentioned above, the Oil Search Ltd has spent about AUD 2 billion from 2010 to 2016 just on its Research and Development wing.

Economic Environment of Oil Search Ltd Australia

The huge investments have resulted into the design, development and ultimately, the launch of new products in the Energy market. Hence, it can be said that the investment in Oil search Ltd can lead to some good profit if the investment is made for several years. As described by Sain et al. (2016, p.102), the Oil Search Ltd company has been known for its tough selection procedure for various posts in the organization. Therefore, the presence of some great minds cannot be denied in the company.

Top-Down analysis (numerical)

OIL SEARCH LIMITED (Consolidated)

Date

Open

High

Low

Close

Adj Close

Volume

↑ or ↓

% change

07-09-2017

11.52

11.52

11.33

11.4

11.4

30271005

11.52

100

01-09-2017

11.18

11.53

11.14

11.5

11.5

151282200

0.34

2.982456

01-08-2017

11.11

11.2

10.47

11.03

11.03

760037900

0.07

0.608696

01-07-2017

11.36

11.83

10.95

11.22

11.077735

696724300

-0.25

-2.26655

01-06-2017

11.25

11.54

10.91

11.19

11.048115

850295900

0.11

0.992983

01-05-2017

11.49

11.54

10.67

11.12

10.979002

932864000

-0.24

-2.17232

01-04-2017

11.64

11.7

11.08

11.47

11.173972

779918200

-0.15

-1.36624

01-03-2017

12.66

12.75

11.41

11.64

11.339585

952495700

-1.02

-9.12836

01-02-2017

12.45

12.77

12.22

12.53

12.206614

586173700

0.21

1.85192

01-01-2017

12.2

13.27

12.13

12.36

11.850026

879509200

0.25

2.04807

01-12-2016

12.23

13.2

12.08

12.13

11.629516

709158400

-0.03

-0.25316

01-11-2016

11.78

12.5

11.07

11.96

11.466531

736690500

0.45

3.869465

01-10-2016

12.06

12.53

11.6

11.74

11.117105

657689600

-0.28

-2.44189

01-09-2016

null

null

null

null

null

null

null

null

Brief History of Pan Pacific petroleum

Pan Pacific petroleum is an Australia based Energy Company that produces one of the most preferred products by fuel movers and transporters around the world. The company was established in 1937 in Australia and it also established its business in Australia in the same year. Headquartered in Tokyo, Australia the company operates its business from numerous parts of the world including Australia. Currently, there are almost 400,000 people that are working with Pan Pacific petroleum. The company exports its fuel in about 170 countries and is known for manufacturing some of the most efficient products in the world (Panpacpetroleum.com.au, 2017).

Economic Environment of Pan Pacific petroleum Australia

The economic condition of Pan Pacific petroleum was not very good in the initial days. However, the extensive research and development that were carried out in different plants by some very creative engineers resulted into the exponential growth of this organization all around the world. As per Masciandaro and Quintyn (2016, p.994), more than 40 countries use Pan Pacific petroleum delivered products for their country’s daily purposes. This is because the Pan Pacific petroleum produces very strong and efficient oil products and biproducts that can operate in extremely tough conditions. In addition to this, the firm is also known for mining, refining and furnishing petroleum with some very creative and unique quality.

The organization has one of its biggest manufacturing plants at Altona. Cummings and Durrani (2016, p.31) have stated about this plant in their journal saying that this plant is dedicated to manufacture Low Lead fuel and Aurion Products of Pan Pacific. Low Lead Fuel is considered one of the best productions of Pan Pacific petroleum by many vehicle experts around the globe. The number of products manufactured at and exported from Altona plant in the financial year 2015-2016 were 95,204 million gallons and 64,605 million gallons respectively (Panpacpetroleum.com.au, 2017).

Change of Forecast in Economic Fundamentals

The economic fundamentals of Pan Pacific petroleum have been facing certain fluctuations in the Australian Energy Market and production lines. Looking at the annual sustainability reports of Pan Pacific petroleum Energy Company, it can be stated very evidently that the number of products manufactured in different years from 2011 to 2016 have not been consistent including its growth. According to Rathke et al. (2016, p.379), the condition of Pan Pacific petroleum has been mentioned that there was growth as well as downfall in the quantities of products manufactured in the plants.

Gross Domestic Product of Pan Pacific petroleum Australia

Change of Forecast in Economic Fundamentals

The GDP of Pan Pacific petroleum Australia has been on a continuous progress since its inception. It has been observed that the growth rate was adversely affected in mid 1940s during the Second World War. As per Shearer et al. (2016, p.819), the emerging of new companies in different parts of the globe was the main reason for the brake in growth rate of Oil Search Ltd during Second World War. The current GDP growth rate of Oil Search Ltd Australia is 2.7% per annum and the present size of GDP is AUD 1.8 billion. Therefore, the Pan Pacific petroleum can also be considered as a preferable destination for investors.

The Profits and Losses in the recent years

Despite of fluctuation in the number of products manufactured in the different financial years, it can be said that the management of Pan Pacific petroleum Energy has been efficiently able to maintain a significant growth in the economy of the firm. As per O’Neill et al. (2016, p.387), the considerable growth in profit of the company has been due to the financial services that are provided during the purchase of any products. The prices have also been set as per the current scenarios so that the sales related operations do not impact the customers or the company.

Investment made in Research and Development

Pan Pacific Petroleum Company is a well renowned firm that produces products which can deliver the desired performance in almost every terrain like dessert as well as mountain. Sunder (2016, p.221) has stated that the positive point of Pan Pacific petroleum that is making efficient products has been further enhanced by engineers working at the Research and Development wing of Pan Pacific petroleum. According to the annual report of Pan Pacific petroleum Australia, the firm received more than AUD 19.2 million in the financial year 2015-2016 as investment from federal as well as State Governments of Australia. This certainly ensures that Pan Pacific petroleum has been able to maintain a good Corporate and a social image among its customers in Australia as well as in other parts of the world. Hence, the company can be trusted when it comes to investment of monetary assets.

Top-Down analysis (numerical)

PAN PACIFIC PETROLEUM NL

 

Date

Open

High

Low

Close

Adj Close

Volume

↑ or ↓

% change

07-09-2017

56.900002

56.900002

56.900002

56.9

56.900002

242

56.9

100

01-09-2017

56.599998

56.900002

56.599998

56.9

56.900002

14000

null

null

01-08-2017

57

57.869999

55.599998

55.63

55.630001

364200

-0.4

-0.70299

01-07-2017

52.5

56.939999

52.5

56.94

56.939999

317400

4.5

7.908611

01-06-2017

53.349998

54.57

51.849998

51.99

51.990002

190500

-0.85

-1.52795

01-05-2017

54.5

54.860001

52.830002

53.28

53.279999

183900

-1.15

-2.01967

01-04-2017

54.34

55.040001

52.259998

54.8

54.799999

274100

0.16

0.307751

01-03-2017

57.080002

57.080002

54.310001

54.34

-14.531988

127100

-2.74

-5.14265

01-02-2017

56.700001

57.700001

55.709999

56.57

-15.12835

278200

0.380001

0.693432

01-01-2017

58.990002

60.849998

56.700001

56.7

-15.163116

403900

-2.29

-4.21421

01-12-2016

59.290001

61.93

58.080002

58.82

-15.730062

208400

-0.3

-0.53031

01-11-2016

57.25

59

54.23

59

-15.778198

230700

2.040001

3.597885

01-10-2016

57.529999

58.689999

57.150002

58.68

-15.692621

237700

-0.28

-0.47603

01-09-2016

61.540001

61.540001

57.380001

57.41

11.113118

760000

-4.01

-6.79661

Table 2: To-Down analysis

(Source: Created by author)

Impact of Forecast Changes in the Economic Fundamentals of both companies

As mentioned in the above portion, the forecasting of company performances depends on the current state and past performance. Moreover, the forecasting by investors is the key factor that maneuvers the investment patterns to be followed by investors in the above-mentioned Energy companies. As opined by Hemmelgarn et al. (2016, p.219), the positive forecasting about any company is likely to increase the amount of investment that can be made by outsider investors for the benefit of that particular company.

Better Corporate Image: Any organization that is likely to have a positive review or forecast from investors is likely to get its Corporate Image enhanced.

Higher Investments: The number of investments increases exponentially that allows the organization to further invest more funds for Research and development purposes

Gross Domestic Product of Oil Search Ltd Australia

Better Scopes of Business Expansion: The Business can be expanded in a better and a more reliable manner so that new scopes for profit can be opened up.

As per the above study, it can be said that both the considered companies are almost at a similar position in terms of investments and profits. However, the Oil Search Ltd Company can be considered more reliable when it comes to refining petroleum. On contrary to this, Pan Pacific petroleum seems to take the lead in terms of multi terrain products.

Bottom-Up Analysis

In the Bottom-Up approach for analysis, the analysis is commenced from the bottom end. Gurran and Ruming (2016, p.278) have mentioned that Bottom-Up analysis includes study of ground level performance at the initial level and keeps growing to the upper level that further involves management level operations, company performances at a certain regional and national as well as international level.

Oil search Ltd Australia

As per the details already mentioned above, the Oil Search Ltd had started to manufacture fuel products and fuel in the mid-1980s.

  • Customer Satisfaction:The Oil Search Ltd company has been able to keep it customers satisfied belonging to every section. Oil search Ltd has launched products from economic types to sports, performances, and luxury products (Barnes, 2017, p.59).
  • Strategy Execution: The strategies of Oil Search Ltd have been to deliver more economic products compared to its counterparts. Hence, the company has delivered products to people that come from every class of society.
  • Management:The management has always performed efficiently in making and implementing the business-related strategies at all levels like manufacturing, human resources and investments (Prescott et al. 2016, p.435).

Bottom-Up analysis (numerical)

OIL SEARCH LIMITED (Consolidated)

Profitability ratios

 

 

 

Particulars

2016 $

2015 $

Rate of return on net sales

Operating profit / net sales

381031/1235908

293369/1585728

0.308300456

0.185005877

0.31

0.185

Rate of return on equity

Net profit / total equity

90891/4725316

(43600) / 4709361

0.019234904

0.009258156

0.02

-0.0092

Earnings per share

given in the annual report

5.89 cents

2.59 cents

Liquidity ratios

 

 

 

Particulars

2016 $

2015 $

Current ratio

Current assets/current liabilities

1134038 / 551837

1141915 / 576599

2.055023494

1.980431808

2.0:1

1.98:1

Accounts receivable turnover

Net credit sales/Avg receivables

((1235908/(152712+81074)/2))

1585728/81074

2.643246388

19.55902015

2.64 times

19.55 times

Gearing ratios

 

 

 

Particulars

2016 $

2015 $

Debt ratio

Total liabilities/total assets

5400813 / 10126129

5633473 / 10342834

0.533354157

0.544674023

53.00%

54.00%

Debt to equity ratio

Total liabilities/total equity

5400813 / 4725316

5633473 / 4709361

1.142952768

1.196228745

1.14%

1.20%

Table 3: Ratio analysis

(Source: Created by author)

Pan Pacific petroleum Australia

Pan Pacific petroleum has always been at a fair position in the list of companies that produces reliable products.

  • Delivery in Mass:The Company produces and delivers the products in a mass quantity to its customers. As per Lees et al. (2016, p.247), the major reason for getting mass order is its compatibility with military operations, like fuel for heavy military vehicles, etc.
  • Strategy Implementation:The strategies of Pan Pacific petroleum mainly focus on making the vehicle perform in extreme climatic as well as geographic condition.
  • Management:Just like Oil Search Ltd, the Pan Pacific petroleum is also known for its efficient management, especially when it comes to timely delivery of products to its foreign customers (Lokuwaduge and Heenetigala, 2017, p.447).

Bottom-Up analysis (numerical)

PAN PACIFIC PETROLEUM NL (Consolidated)

Profitability ratios

 

 

 

Particulars

2016 $

2015 $

Rate of return on net sales

Operating profit / net sales

(18103)/10577

(25539)/21753

1.711543916

1.174044959

-1.71%

-1.17%

Rate of return on equity

Net profit / total equity

(19155)/28784

(23597) / 48166

0.665473874

0.489909895

-66.50%

-49.00%

Earnings per share

given in the annual report

3.31 cents

4.00 cents

Liquidity ratios

 

 

 

Particulars

2016 $

2015 $

Current ratio

Current assets/current liabilities

29421 / 3410

35636 / 5189

8.627859238

6.867604548

8.62:1

6.87:1

Accounts receivable turnover

Net credit sales/Avg receivables

((10577/(538+11134)/2))

21753/11134

0.453092872

1.953745285

0.45 times

1.95 times

Gearing ratios

 

 

 

Particulars

2016 $

2015 $

Debt ratio

Total liabilities/total assets

20866 / 49650

22172 / 70338

0.420261833

0.315220791

42%

54%

Debt to equity ratio

Total liabilities/total equity

20866 / 28784

22172 / 48166

0.72491662

0.72491662

72%

72%

Table 4: Ratio analysis

(Source: Created by author)

Recommendations

Despite having considerable growth and pace of development for both the Energy manufacturing giants, it is very important to be careful about certain things that can enhance the company performance in terms of sales, profits, and corporate image.

  • Giving more options to customize the products as per the needs and demands of any individual customer at an Oil Search Ltd is a very good option to attract new customers and retain the current ones.
  • Employing more staff for making the customers aware of technical details in layman’s terms during the time of purchase can make the customers understand the products in more details.
  • Providing the customers with attractive discounts in purchasing and servicing charges can give any organization an edge over its competitors in the current Energy market.

The report has successfully described the different aspects and parameters of a company’s operations that are to be taken care of before making any investment in it. It has mentioned the Top-Down Analysis and the Bottom-Up Analysis of two Energy Giants named Oil Search Ltd Australia and Pan Pacific petroleum Australia. This part has described the brief history, GDP, and other investments that have been made by various sectors and organizations in Oil Search Ltd and Pan Pacific petroleum. Another important thing that has been included in the Economic environment of these tow companies.

References

Armour, J., Awrey, D., Davies, P.L., Enriques, L., Gordon, J.N., Mayer, C.P. and Payne, J., 2016. Principles of financial regulation. London: OxOil search Ltd University Press.

Barnes, P., 2017. Stock market scams, shell companies, penny shares, boiler rooms and cold calling: The UK experience. International Journal of Law, Crime and Justice, 48(1), pp.50-64.

Cummings, J.R. and Durrani, K.J., 2016. Effect of the Basel Accord capital requirements on the loan-loss provisioning practices of Australian banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 67(3), pp.23-36.

Ferguson, I., Levetan, L., Crossman, N.D. and Bennett, L.T., 2016. Financial Mechanisms to Improve the Supply of Ecosystem Services from Privately-Owned Australian Native Forests. Forests, 7(2), p.34-42.

Guenther, C., Johan, S. and Schweizer, D., 2017. Is the crowd sensitive to distance?—How investment decisions differ by investor type. Small Business Economics, pp.1-17.

Gurran, N. and Ruming, K., 2016. Less planning, more development? Housing and urban reform discourses in Australia. Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 19(3), pp.262-280.

Heller, J. and Phillips, G., 2017. An Examination of Post-Crisis Financial Markets Litigation. The Journal of Structured Finance, 23(1), pp.7-22.

Hemmelgarn, T., Nicodème, G., Tasnadi, B. and Vermote, P., 2016. Financial transaction taxes in the European Union. National Tax Journal, 69(1), p.217-234.

Lees, G., Winchester, M. and De Silva, S., 2016. Demographic product segmentation in financial services products in Australia and New Zealand. Journal of Financial Services Marketing, 21(3), pp.240-250.

Lokuwaduge, C.S.D.S. and Heenetigala, K., 2017. Integrating environmental, social and governance (ESG) disclosure for a sustainable development: an Australian study. Business Strategy and the Environment, 26(4), pp.438-450.

Masciandaro, D. and Quintyn, M., 2016. The governance of financial supervision: recent developments. Journal of Economic Surveys, 30(5), pp.982-1006.

O’Neill, P., Sohal, A. and Teng, C.W., 2016. Quality management approaches and their impact on firms? financial performance–An Australian study. International Journal of Production Economics, 171(2), pp.381-393.

Oilsearch.com. (2017). Who We Are - Oil Search 2017. Available at: https://www.oilsearch.com/who-we-are [Accessed 3 Sep. 2017].

Panpacpetroleum.com.au. (2017). Business Overview | Pan Pacific Petroleum. Available at: https://www.panpacpetroleum.com.au/about-us/business-overview/ [Accessed 3 Sep. 2017].

Porter, T. and Williams, R., 2016. States, markets and regimes in global finance. Springer.

Prescott, S.L., Allen, K., Armstrong, K., Collins, C., Dickinson, H., Gardiner, K., Jacka, F., Jasoni, C., Moore, T., Moritz, K.M. and Muhlhausler, B., 2016. The establishment of DOHaD working groups in Australia and New Zealand. Journal of developmental origins of health and disease, 7(5), pp.433-439.

Rathke, A.A.T., Santana, V.D.F., Lourenço, I.M.E.C. and Dalmácio, F.Z., 2016. International financial reporting standards and earnings management in Latin America. Revista de Administração Contemporânea, 20(3), pp.368-388.

Ravenhill, J. ed., 2017. Global political economy. London: OxOil search Ltd University Press.

Sain, M.R.M., Rahman, M.M. and Khanam, R., 2016. Financial exclusion in Australia: can Islamic finance minimise the problem?. Australasian Accounting, Business and Finance Journal, 10(3), pp.89-104.

Salim, R., Arjomandi, A. and Seufert, J.H., 2016. Does corporate governance affect Australian banks' performance?. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 43(2), pp.113-125.

Shearer, H., Coiacetto, E., Dodson, J. and Taygfeld, P., 2016. How the structure of the Australian housing development industry influences climate change adaptation. Housing Studies, 31(7), pp.809-828.

Sippel, S.R., Larder, N. and Lawrence, G., 2017. Grounding the financialization of farmland: perspectives on financial actors as new land owners in rural Australia. Agriculture and Human Values, 34(2), pp.251-265.

Sunder, S., 2016. Better financial reporting: Meanings and means. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 35(3), pp.211-223.

Zeff, S.A., 2016. The Trueblood Study Group on the objectives of financial statements (1971–73): A historical study. Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, 35(2), pp.134-161.

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